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Morning report

ETF Friday: Four ASX ETFs the Budget has brought into Focus

The ASX200 continued to feel soggy on Thursday, although it did ultimately reverse earlier losses into the close, ending the session up +0.1%, even though ~55% of the main board retreated. A bounce by the banks, led by Commonwealth Bank (ASX: CBA), combined with another positive session by BHP Group (ASX: BHP), was enough to see the main board eke out a small gain, with the index again attracting buyers around the 8600 level, albeit in a very selective manner.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Is Copper the New Oil — And Australia’s Lucky Break?

The ASX 200 delivered another disappointing performance on Monday falling 0.5%, failing to embrace another record breaking session by US equities on Friday night. The day was dominated by another painful downgrade by CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) which saw the biotech hit 16%, its largest ever 1-day fall, contributing over 70% of the days decline - such was its dramatic fall that it overtook talk of tonight’s budget on many trading desks.
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Morning report

Macro Monday: Earnings, not social media posts, ultimately drive stocks

Outside of the post-COVID rebound, corporate America has just delivered one of its strongest earnings seasons in more than a decade. Approximately 85% of S&P 500 companies beat expectations, with the Magnificent Seven posting profit growth well in excess of 50%, providing the engine room for the broader rally.
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Morning report

ETF Friday: Four ASX ETFs that could attract the next wave of buying as investors look for value

The ASX200 delivered a second consecutive strong day, extending the weeks recovery from Tuesdays low to more than 3%. The gains were again spearheaded by the miners, on the back of stronger metal prices, with BHP Group (ASX:BHP) and Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO) on their own contributing 50% of the index’s move. The advance was more broad based than on Wednesday with over 70% of the main board closing higher.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: A Fresh Takeover Wave Hits the ASX — Who’s Next?

The ASX 200 retreated 0.4% ahead of this afternoons RBA rate decision, extending what has become one of the most sustained losing streaks of the year, nine declines in ten sessions, with the banks again at the centre of the weakness. National Australia Bank Limited (ASX: NAB) was the standout drag; its soft quarterly result sent the stock down 1.6% and took approximately six points from the index.
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Morning report

Macro Monday: ASX Faces RBA Decision and Federal Budget in Critical Two-Week Window

The RBA is expected to lift rates by another 0.25% on Tuesday, taking the cash rate to 4.35%, fully reversing the 0.75% of easing delivered through 2025. Credit markets are also pricing in at least one, and potentially two, additional hikes over the next 12 months, leaving mortgage holders facing the highest borrowing costs in over a decade. It's no surprise that rate-sensitive sectors are under pressure—real estate and retail are down ~10% and ~14% respectively in 2026, while the ASX 200 has managed to eke out a modest gain.
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MM remains bullish towards the ASX200, around 8650
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MM is bullish towards the UK FTSE ~10,375.
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MM remains bullish YETI US ~$US40
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VHY
MM is bullish towards the VHY ETF around $83
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MVB
MM is cautiously bullish towards the MVB ETF $41.50
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QRE
MM is bullish towards the QRE ETF around $10.70
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MM is now neutral towards the ATEC ETF around $20.50
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Latest Reports

Morning report

What Matters Today: Is Copper the New Oil — And Australia’s Lucky Break?

The ASX 200 delivered another disappointing performance on Monday falling 0.5%, failing to embrace another record breaking session by US equities on Friday night. The day was dominated by another painful downgrade by CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) which saw the biotech hit 16%, its largest ever 1-day fall, contributing over 70% of the days decline - such was its dramatic fall that it overtook talk of tonight’s budget on many trading desks.

Morning report

Macro Monday: Earnings, not social media posts, ultimately drive stocks

Outside of the post-COVID rebound, corporate America has just delivered one of its strongest earnings seasons in more than a decade. Approximately 85% of S&P 500 companies beat expectations, with the Magnificent Seven posting profit growth well in excess of 50%, providing the engine room for the broader rally.

Morning report

ETF Friday: Four ASX ETFs that could attract the next wave of buying as investors look for value

The ASX200 delivered a second consecutive strong day, extending the weeks recovery from Tuesdays low to more than 3%. The gains were again spearheaded by the miners, on the back of stronger metal prices, with BHP Group (ASX:BHP) and Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO) on their own contributing 50% of the index’s move. The advance was more broad based than on Wednesday with over 70% of the main board closing higher.

Morning report

What Matters Today: A Fresh Takeover Wave Hits the ASX — Who’s Next?

The ASX 200 retreated 0.4% ahead of this afternoons RBA rate decision, extending what has become one of the most sustained losing streaks of the year, nine declines in ten sessions, with the banks again at the centre of the weakness. National Australia Bank Limited (ASX: NAB) was the standout drag; its soft quarterly result sent the stock down 1.6% and took approximately six points from the index.

Morning report

Macro Monday: ASX Faces RBA Decision and Federal Budget in Critical Two-Week Window

The RBA is expected to lift rates by another 0.25% on Tuesday, taking the cash rate to 4.35%, fully reversing the 0.75% of easing delivered through 2025. Credit markets are also pricing in at least one, and potentially two, additional hikes over the next 12 months, leaving mortgage holders facing the highest borrowing costs in over a decade. It's no surprise that rate-sensitive sectors are under pressure—real estate and retail are down ~10% and ~14% respectively in 2026, while the ASX 200 has managed to eke out a modest gain.

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