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Morning report

What Matters Today: Is it time to “tweak” portfolios as hopes of RBA rate cuts fade

The ASX200 finished 1% lower on Wednesday after a hot CPI print dashed hopes of an interest rate cut into Christmas - by the end of the day, futures markets were pricing in a 20% chance of some Christmas joy for mortgage holders and arguably more telling, only one cut at most by next Christmas! Michele Bullock has been warning markets to be conservative with their dovish forecasts, and it's her crystal ball that’s now looking the clearest.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The action continues to unfold on the stock and sector level

The ASX200 struggled on Tuesday under the weight of four major stocks tumbling by more than 10%, dragging the index lower from both a points and sentiment perspective. A strong banking sector couldn't dig the bourse out of trouble, as health care and IT stocks were dragged underwater by sector giants CSL and WiseTech, each sinking more than 15%.
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is the lithium sector’s recovery based on value, or short-covering

The ASX 200 advanced +0.4% on the last Monday of October, with winners and losers fairly evenly matched, but the influential banks and heavyweight resource stocks dragged the broader index higher. The combination of Friday's strong session on Wall Street following the soft CPI and optimism over a US-China trade deal lifted the local market and US futures, which were up +0.7% when the domestic day session ended.
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: The Feds are set to get busy, will rate cuts push stocks ever higher?

Many economists have long warned that Trump’s tariffs would ignite a sharp rise in inflation, but that threat continues to be a dog that won’t bark. On Friday, another nail was driven into the hawks’ coffin as US inflation data came in softer than expected. Wall Street surged to new record highs, with the cooler print reinforcing market expectations that the Fed will deliver four to five rate cuts over the next year, starting with a 0.25% move this week.
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

ETF Friday: 5 ETFs on our radar as volatility picks up in commodities

The ASX 200 recovered from early losses to close marginally higher on Thursday as “buy the dip”  again prevailed. At its worst, the index was down over 40-points before reversing higher in the late morning with the miners and energy names improving throughout the day, ultimately lifting the market into positive territory. Energy stocks rallied more than +3% after US sanctions on Russian oil lifted crude prices, aided by the Woodside gas deal, which provided a springboard for the sector's biggest company.
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is AI the new Gold Rush or the Next Dot-Com bubble?

The ASX200 fell -0.7% on Wednesday, with volatility resurfacing in a session that saw stocks falling alongside gold and cryptocurrencies. . It was a day in which assets favoured by retail momentum traders bore the worst losses, among them precious metals, crypto and companies in the artificial-intelligence space.
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Gold & silver get hammered in one brutal session

The ASX200 continued to advance in a “three steps forward, two back” fashion on Tuesday, posting a new all-time high before fading into the close. Gains were broad-based, with over 60% of the main board rising and 10 out of the 11 main sectors, with only the defensive facing consumer staples slipping lower.
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Revisiting the Insurance stocks after a 10% correction

The ASX 200 recovered stoically from early weakness to finish up +0.4% on Monday, supported by the banks and insurers, while the resources names experienced a rare day in the “naughty corner”. Commonwealth Bank (CBA) surged more than 2% to $172.70, leading the “Big Four” higher and helping the financials sector to its highest-ever close at a combined value of almost $950 billion.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: US regional banks unsettle the bull market; can Trump save the day?

The start of the U.S. earnings season has revealed a potential fault line in the market’s strong rally and lofty valuations, with rising risks from aggressive lending at some regional banks. The small caps have been on song recently, but the regional banks have called into question their strong run after turning lower year-to-date.
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

ETF Friday: Looking at 5 ETFs for a Santa Rally

The ASX 200 enjoyed a surprisingly strong Thursday, after a lacklustre start to the day. Aggressive buying pushed the market above 9100 for the first time before surrendering some of the day's gains through the afternoon to close up +0.9%.
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
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MM is now adopting a neutral stance towards the ASX into Christmas
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VGB
MM is now neutral towards the Australian 3s into 2026
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IVV
MM is neutral on US stocks in the short term
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MM remains long & bullish MSFT US
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MM remains long & bullish GOOGL
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MM is bullish towards copper into 2026
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MM is bullish towards the WIRE ETF, targeting a break above $20
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SFR
MM is long and bullish towards SFR
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MGR
MM is now adopting a neutral view towards MGR
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WBC
MM is bullish towards WBC medium-term
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HVN
MM likes HVN below $7
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WOW
MM is now bullish towards WOW below $28
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MPL
MM is bullish towards MPL around $4.80
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Latest Reports

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The action continues to unfold on the stock and sector level

The ASX200 struggled on Tuesday under the weight of four major stocks tumbling by more than 10%, dragging the index lower from both a points and sentiment perspective. A strong banking sector couldn't dig the bourse out of trouble, as health care and IT stocks were dragged underwater by sector giants CSL and WiseTech, each sinking more than 15%.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is the lithium sector’s recovery based on value, or short-covering

The ASX 200 advanced +0.4% on the last Monday of October, with winners and losers fairly evenly matched, but the influential banks and heavyweight resource stocks dragged the broader index higher. The combination of Friday's strong session on Wall Street following the soft CPI and optimism over a US-China trade deal lifted the local market and US futures, which were up +0.7% when the domestic day session ended.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: The Feds are set to get busy, will rate cuts push stocks ever higher?

Many economists have long warned that Trump’s tariffs would ignite a sharp rise in inflation, but that threat continues to be a dog that won’t bark. On Friday, another nail was driven into the hawks’ coffin as US inflation data came in softer than expected. Wall Street surged to new record highs, with the cooler print reinforcing market expectations that the Fed will deliver four to five rate cuts over the next year, starting with a 0.25% move this week.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

ETF Friday: 5 ETFs on our radar as volatility picks up in commodities

The ASX 200 recovered from early losses to close marginally higher on Thursday as “buy the dip”  again prevailed. At its worst, the index was down over 40-points before reversing higher in the late morning with the miners and energy names improving throughout the day, ultimately lifting the market into positive territory. Energy stocks rallied more than +3% after US sanctions on Russian oil lifted crude prices, aided by the Woodside gas deal, which provided a springboard for the sector's biggest company.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is AI the new Gold Rush or the Next Dot-Com bubble?

The ASX200 fell -0.7% on Wednesday, with volatility resurfacing in a session that saw stocks falling alongside gold and cryptocurrencies. . It was a day in which assets favoured by retail momentum traders bore the worst losses, among them precious metals, crypto and companies in the artificial-intelligence space.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Gold & silver get hammered in one brutal session

The ASX200 continued to advance in a “three steps forward, two back” fashion on Tuesday, posting a new all-time high before fading into the close. Gains were broad-based, with over 60% of the main board rising and 10 out of the 11 main sectors, with only the defensive facing consumer staples slipping lower.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Revisiting the Insurance stocks after a 10% correction

The ASX 200 recovered stoically from early weakness to finish up +0.4% on Monday, supported by the banks and insurers, while the resources names experienced a rare day in the “naughty corner”. Commonwealth Bank (CBA) surged more than 2% to $172.70, leading the “Big Four” higher and helping the financials sector to its highest-ever close at a combined value of almost $950 billion.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: US regional banks unsettle the bull market; can Trump save the day?

The start of the U.S. earnings season has revealed a potential fault line in the market’s strong rally and lofty valuations, with rising risks from aggressive lending at some regional banks. The small caps have been on song recently, but the regional banks have called into question their strong run after turning lower year-to-date.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

ETF Friday: Looking at 5 ETFs for a Santa Rally

The ASX 200 enjoyed a surprisingly strong Thursday, after a lacklustre start to the day. Aggressive buying pushed the market above 9100 for the first time before surrendering some of the day's gains through the afternoon to close up +0.9%.

what matters today Market Matters
more
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