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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Five & done for the RBA?

Yesterday brought us the Melbourne Cup and another 0.25% rate hike by the RBA, taking the cash rate to 4.85%, its highest level in 18 years. The hike was totally expected, but overall the rhetoric from Michele Bullock supported our view that rates will now be on hold well into 2027, with the next move more likely to be a cut.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Can Rare Earth stocks recover after the US Midterm Elections?

The ASX 200 fell away on Monday ahead of the RBA and US mid-terms, with the miners and banks, the main contributors to the index's 0.6% decline. The banks slipped despite Westpac (ASX: WBC) advancing +1% following its reasonable FY26 result, despite management warning the next 12–18 months of its UNITE transformation would be challenging - UNITE is WBC’s major, multi-year technology and operational transformation program, designed to simplify how the bank operates, reduce costs and improve customer experience.
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Morning report

Macro Monday: Here come the RBA & Mid-terms, as if it wasn’t volatile enough!

The US Tech Sector came under further pressure last week with aggressive pullbacks from the likes of Intel (-24%), Google (-13%), Palantir (-6%), Netflix (-6%), and Meta (-3%) weighing on the indices and general market sentiment. The issue last week wasn’t bond yields, but the latest earnings season exposing the growing cash-flow cost of the AI boom.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Anthropic’s IPO reinvigorates the “AI Trade”

For the second consecutive day, the ASX 200 recovered from early losses to close higher, this time a more impressive +0.5%. Gains were concentrated in the miners, with the materials sector adding 58 points to the index, while financials dragged by 18 points. If the two could just move in the same direction, we’d be trading above 9,000 in the blink of an eye! The miners, and in particular copper names, enjoyed two strong tailwinds on Tuesday.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Evaluating 4 big ASX movers

The ASX 200 reversed from early steep losses to close up +0.2% on Monday, with a +1.7% bounce by the materials sector adding +35 points to the index, more than offsetting weakness in the financials.
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Morning report

Macro Monday: Should we be reweighting our portfolios in earnest?

Relative sector performance is very often cyclical, depending on different factors such as bond yields and global economic growth. It may not feel like it, but the ASX 200 Financials and Materials sectors have delivered comparable gains since COVID, rising ~60% and ~50%, respectively, but they’ve followed very different paths.
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MM remains bullish towards the ASX200, around 9000
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NDQ
MM is bullish towards the NASDAQ below the 27,000 area
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IKO
MM is bullish towards the KOSPI around 5000
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MM is cautiously bullish towards VRT around US$150
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MM is bullish towards EQIX below US$1000
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MVB
MM is cautiously bullish towards the Australian banks
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CBA
MM is cautiously bullish towards CBA
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PME
MM is long and bullish towards PME
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XRO
MM is long and bullish towards XRO
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Latest Reports

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Five & done for the RBA?

Yesterday brought us the Melbourne Cup and another 0.25% rate hike by the RBA, taking the cash rate to 4.85%, its highest level in 18 years. The hike was totally expected, but overall the rhetoric from Michele Bullock supported our view that rates will now be on hold well into 2027, with the next move more likely to be a cut.

Morning report

What Matters Today: Can Rare Earth stocks recover after the US Midterm Elections?

The ASX 200 fell away on Monday ahead of the RBA and US mid-terms, with the miners and banks, the main contributors to the index's 0.6% decline. The banks slipped despite Westpac (ASX: WBC) advancing +1% following its reasonable FY26 result, despite management warning the next 12–18 months of its UNITE transformation would be challenging - UNITE is WBC’s major, multi-year technology and operational transformation program, designed to simplify how the bank operates, reduce costs and improve customer experience.

Morning report

Macro Monday: Here come the RBA & Mid-terms, as if it wasn’t volatile enough!

The US Tech Sector came under further pressure last week with aggressive pullbacks from the likes of Intel (-24%), Google (-13%), Palantir (-6%), Netflix (-6%), and Meta (-3%) weighing on the indices and general market sentiment. The issue last week wasn’t bond yields, but the latest earnings season exposing the growing cash-flow cost of the AI boom.

Morning report

What Matters Today: Three sectors where not all boats are rising/sinking as one

Firstly, we have a new data provider now feeding the Market Matters website, with the cut over completed overnight. Further enhancements to come in coming months, which will tie in our expanded data set with some interesting tools to better analysis the market as a whole and improve the navigation around the site.

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Anthropic’s IPO reinvigorates the “AI Trade”

For the second consecutive day, the ASX 200 recovered from early losses to close higher, this time a more impressive +0.5%. Gains were concentrated in the miners, with the materials sector adding 58 points to the index, while financials dragged by 18 points. If the two could just move in the same direction, we’d be trading above 9,000 in the blink of an eye! The miners, and in particular copper names, enjoyed two strong tailwinds on Tuesday.

Morning report

What Matters Today: Evaluating 4 big ASX movers

The ASX 200 reversed from early steep losses to close up +0.2% on Monday, with a +1.7% bounce by the materials sector adding +35 points to the index, more than offsetting weakness in the financials.

Morning report

Macro Monday: Should we be reweighting our portfolios in earnest?

Relative sector performance is very often cyclical, depending on different factors such as bond yields and global economic growth. It may not feel like it, but the ASX 200 Financials and Materials sectors have delivered comparable gains since COVID, rising ~60% and ~50%, respectively, but they’ve followed very different paths.

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