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Morning report

What Matters Today: Is Copper the New Oil — And Australia’s Lucky Break?

The ASX 200 delivered another disappointing performance on Monday falling 0.5%, failing to embrace another record breaking session by US equities on Friday night. The day was dominated by another painful downgrade by CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) which saw the biotech hit 16%, its largest ever 1-day fall, contributing over 70% of the days decline - such was its dramatic fall that it overtook talk of tonight’s budget on many trading desks.
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Morning report

Macro Monday: Earnings, not social media posts, ultimately drive stocks

Outside of the post-COVID rebound, corporate America has just delivered one of its strongest earnings seasons in more than a decade. Approximately 85% of S&P 500 companies beat expectations, with the Magnificent Seven posting profit growth well in excess of 50%, providing the engine room for the broader rally.
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Morning report

ETF Friday: Four ASX ETFs that could attract the next wave of buying as investors look for value

The ASX200 delivered a second consecutive strong day, extending the weeks recovery from Tuesdays low to more than 3%. The gains were again spearheaded by the miners, on the back of stronger metal prices, with BHP Group (ASX:BHP) and Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO) on their own contributing 50% of the index’s move. The advance was more broad based than on Wednesday with over 70% of the main board closing higher.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: A Fresh Takeover Wave Hits the ASX — Who’s Next?

The ASX 200 retreated 0.4% ahead of this afternoons RBA rate decision, extending what has become one of the most sustained losing streaks of the year, nine declines in ten sessions, with the banks again at the centre of the weakness. National Australia Bank Limited (ASX: NAB) was the standout drag; its soft quarterly result sent the stock down 1.6% and took approximately six points from the index.
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Morning report

Macro Monday: ASX Faces RBA Decision and Federal Budget in Critical Two-Week Window

The RBA is expected to lift rates by another 0.25% on Tuesday, taking the cash rate to 4.35%, fully reversing the 0.75% of easing delivered through 2025. Credit markets are also pricing in at least one, and potentially two, additional hikes over the next 12 months, leaving mortgage holders facing the highest borrowing costs in over a decade. It's no surprise that rate-sensitive sectors are under pressure—real estate and retail are down ~10% and ~14% respectively in 2026, while the ASX 200 has managed to eke out a modest gain.
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Morning report

ETF Friday: Four ASX ETFs to track the ongoing massive AI buildout

The ASX200 continued its losing streak for an eighth day on Thursday, as it waved goodbye to April, a month that promised so much but ultimately only closed up +2.2%, not a bad net result, but the last few sessions made it feel far worse. The song remained the same yesterday, as oil prices ground ever higher and the realities of a prolonged energy shock hit home for Woolworths (ASX:WOW) and other exposed businesses. Confidence is rapidly being eroded that the US-Iran conflict will be resolved any time soon, as boards start pointing fingers at the impact of the war for disappointing trading updates. Yesterday, it was Woolworths -7.8%, while South32 (ASX:S32) -5.4% focused more on Trump's tariffs.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Atlas Arteria takeover bid – What it could mean for ASX infrastructure and utilities stocks?

The ASX200 posted its 7th consecutive day of losses on Wednesday, falling another 0.3% despite a softer-than-feared inflation print. The CPI came in at 4.6% in the year to March, lower than expected but spiking sharply from February, hitting levels not seen since 2023. Short-dated local bonds rallied on the release (yields lower), but the move did little to shift the broader hawkish outlook for rates into 2026. Credit markets continue to price in a ~70% probability of a third RBA hike next week.
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MM remains bullish towards the ASX200 around 8675
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NDQ
MM is bullish towards the NASDAQ 100 around 29,000
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MM is bullish towards the UK FTSE ~10,250.
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MM is bullish towards copper around $US14,000
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ALI
MM is positive on ALI ~$2.45
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WES
MM is bullish towards Wesfarmers below $70
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MM remains long & bullish JD ~$US31
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GDG
MM is cautiously bullish GDG ~$4
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360
MM remains patiently long 360 in the Emerging Companies Portfolio
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Latest Reports

Morning report

What Matters Today: Is Copper the New Oil — And Australia’s Lucky Break?

The ASX 200 delivered another disappointing performance on Monday falling 0.5%, failing to embrace another record breaking session by US equities on Friday night. The day was dominated by another painful downgrade by CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) which saw the biotech hit 16%, its largest ever 1-day fall, contributing over 70% of the days decline - such was its dramatic fall that it overtook talk of tonight’s budget on many trading desks.

Morning report

Macro Monday: Earnings, not social media posts, ultimately drive stocks

Outside of the post-COVID rebound, corporate America has just delivered one of its strongest earnings seasons in more than a decade. Approximately 85% of S&P 500 companies beat expectations, with the Magnificent Seven posting profit growth well in excess of 50%, providing the engine room for the broader rally.

Morning report

ETF Friday: Four ASX ETFs that could attract the next wave of buying as investors look for value

The ASX200 delivered a second consecutive strong day, extending the weeks recovery from Tuesdays low to more than 3%. The gains were again spearheaded by the miners, on the back of stronger metal prices, with BHP Group (ASX:BHP) and Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO) on their own contributing 50% of the index’s move. The advance was more broad based than on Wednesday with over 70% of the main board closing higher.

Morning report

What Matters Today: A Fresh Takeover Wave Hits the ASX — Who’s Next?

The ASX 200 retreated 0.4% ahead of this afternoons RBA rate decision, extending what has become one of the most sustained losing streaks of the year, nine declines in ten sessions, with the banks again at the centre of the weakness. National Australia Bank Limited (ASX: NAB) was the standout drag; its soft quarterly result sent the stock down 1.6% and took approximately six points from the index.

Morning report

Macro Monday: ASX Faces RBA Decision and Federal Budget in Critical Two-Week Window

The RBA is expected to lift rates by another 0.25% on Tuesday, taking the cash rate to 4.35%, fully reversing the 0.75% of easing delivered through 2025. Credit markets are also pricing in at least one, and potentially two, additional hikes over the next 12 months, leaving mortgage holders facing the highest borrowing costs in over a decade. It's no surprise that rate-sensitive sectors are under pressure—real estate and retail are down ~10% and ~14% respectively in 2026, while the ASX 200 has managed to eke out a modest gain.

Morning report

ETF Friday: Four ASX ETFs to track the ongoing massive AI buildout

The ASX200 continued its losing streak for an eighth day on Thursday, as it waved goodbye to April, a month that promised so much but ultimately only closed up +2.2%, not a bad net result, but the last few sessions made it feel far worse. The song remained the same yesterday, as oil prices ground ever higher and the realities of a prolonged energy shock hit home for Woolworths (ASX:WOW) and other exposed businesses. Confidence is rapidly being eroded that the US-Iran conflict will be resolved any time soon, as boards start pointing fingers at the impact of the war for disappointing trading updates. Yesterday, it was Woolworths -7.8%, while South32 (ASX:S32) -5.4% focused more on Trump's tariffs.

Morning report

What Matters Today: Atlas Arteria takeover bid – What it could mean for ASX infrastructure and utilities stocks?

The ASX200 posted its 7th consecutive day of losses on Wednesday, falling another 0.3% despite a softer-than-feared inflation print. The CPI came in at 4.6% in the year to March, lower than expected but spiking sharply from February, hitting levels not seen since 2023. Short-dated local bonds rallied on the release (yields lower), but the move did little to shift the broader hawkish outlook for rates into 2026. Credit markets continue to price in a ~70% probability of a third RBA hike next week.

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